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Economic Updates

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Australian employment figures beat forecast – Rates markets and AUD reaction

Australian October employment figures released at 11:30 AEDST handily beat expectations with 32.2k jobs added for the month (15k expected), the unemployment rate also unexpectedly fell to 3.4% when it was expected to be unchanged at 3.5%. Coupled with yesterdays beat in the Wage Price index which showed wages increased 1% in Q3 paints an optimis...

November 17, 2022
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US equities rally on softer PPI figure though upside capped on hawkish Fed rhetoric and geopolitics

US markets rallied in a choppy session after a softer Producer inflation figure mirrored the Consumer inflation figure from last week, giving investors optimism that US inflation may have peaked. Gains were tempered though with Fed voting members Barr and Harker both made hawkish comments regarding the Feds fight against inflation and reports of a ...

November 16, 2022
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US markets break winning streak after post CPI exuberance, cryptos down again

The US equity post CPI rally of last week ran out of steam in Mondays session as consumer inflation expectations rose and mixed messages from Federal Reserve members saw a choppy first half of the session only to see a steep decline into the close with the Dow Jones ultimately finishing down 211 points (-0.63%) Futures opened Monday with a gap d...

November 15, 2022
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Soft CPI figure sees Stocks, Bonds and Gold soar as the USD and yields collapse

Risk on was definitely back on in Thursdays US session after a softer than expected October Core CPI print, coming in at 0.3% vs the expected 0.5%, combined with broadly less-hawkish comments from Federal Reserve members Daly, Logan and Harker  sparked the biggest rally in US equities since April 2020. The rally was broad with all major US inde...

November 11, 2022
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US equities rise ahead of Midterm results in choppy session as Crypto craters

US equities got off to flying start with reports of possible peace talks between Russia and Ukraine and a softening in the rate environment saw solid gains across the major indices for the first half of the session. Chaos in the Crypto market then hit dragging down stocks before a bounce off technical levels saw the Dow Jones still finish up over 1...

November 9, 2022
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The Week Ahead – US Mid-terms set stage for another volatile week

Another week done, another roller coaster for equity and risk markets as the bulls and the bears battled to take control of the narrative in a data rich week. Markets pumped on what was taken initially as a dovish FOMC statement, only to dump as Fed chair Jerome Powell threw cold water on that idea during his presser, then pumped again on Friday...

November 7, 2022
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US stocks dump in choppy session after FOMC decision

US equites had a wild ride over night, A strong ADP jobs report was indexes track lower at the start of the session (Good news is bad news!) only to have a euphoric lift after the FOMC statement which traders took as a dovish pivot from the Fed, only to have the party ruined by Jerome Powell’s press conference where he poured cold water on that i...

November 3, 2022
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Stocks down, USD and Yields up ahead of key FOMC meeting

US stocks slid in a choppy session where a positive open soon sold off sharply on the back of a positive JOLTS report sparking a “good news is bad news” reaction in equity markets. The JOLTS survey showed that job openings surged in September, rising to 10.72 million, well above the expected 9.85 million, this saw rate hike odds soaring ahea...

November 2, 2022
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The Week Ahead – The Fed takes centre stage along with the RBA and BoE in a data heavy calendar

With the bulls fully in charge, global markets head into the first week of November with one of the most important economic calendars we’ve seen this year to look forward to. Risk-on has certainly been the narrative in October so far, with the Dow Jones index surging 5.89% last week, up 14.4% for October and on track, coming into its last trad...

October 31, 2022
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CPI figures released for Australia

The Australian Consumer Price Index, (CPI) data was released earlier today with the figures coming out higher than expected. The CPI provides important information about the change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers, by measuring household inflation and includes statistics about price change for categories of household expend...

October 26, 2022
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US stocks rally during cash session, futures down after market as Microsoft and Alphabet earnings disappoint.

US equities markets had another strong session as a flurry of weaker than expected housing and consumer confidence figures kept the Fed pivot dream alive. Growth and tech stocks outperformed with all major US indices finishing well in the green ahead of major earnings releases after the bell. The big movers after hours are Microsoft (MSFT) a...

October 26, 2022
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US stocks rip higher again, China falters and Yen-tervention fails

Another day, another push higher in US equities as the market mood remains buoyant during what has so far been a good earnings season, with much more to come. Services and manufacturing PMI figures out of the UK, EU and US all came in weaker than expected and well in contraction territory, in the equity market theme is “Bad news is good news” (...

October 25, 2022
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The Week Ahead – Central banks, inflation and corporate earnings set to take centre stage.

Global markets are in for a busy last week of October, with inflation, growth and Central bank rate decisions set to be released from multiple countries. We’re also in the midst of US reporting season, last week solid earning helped propel US Indices to a very big up week, the Dow Jones rising over 5%. With all this going on. another volatile ...

October 24, 2022
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China’s slow growth a worry for Australia?

China, Australia’s savior during the 2009 Global Financial Crisis may not provide the same security in what may be an impending recession. This does not bode well for the Australian economy which so far has performed relatively well in the recent volatile market conditions. The ASX which has been resilient in the global sell off, on the back of i...

October 21, 2022
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US equities decline amid global inflationary headwinds as yields and the Dollar jump.

US stocks broke a two-day winning streak with the major indexes finishing moderately lower as global inflation fears lingered after both Canada and the UK CPI figures came in hot, showing signs that the inflation peak may not yet be in.   With risk aversion back (for the day at least) Bonds were sold off (Price down, yields up) with the ...

October 20, 2022
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